Senate Battlegrounds 2026

Minnesota · U.S. Senate

Fielded September 14-15, 2026 Mode Mobile text responses and live landline interviews Sample 833 likely general election voters MoE ±3.38% Released September 2026

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?

43%

Peggy Flanagan

Democrat

42%

Michele Tafoya

Republican

2%

Rebecca Whiting

Libertarian

2%

Marisa Simonetti

Independent

11%

Undecided

 

Flanagan +1

The numbers behind the ballot

Candidate favorability

Peggy Flanagan

Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 42%
No opinion 25%

Michele Tafoya

Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 32%
No opinion 31%

About 1 in 4 voters offer no opinion of Flanagan; roughly 3 in 10 have yet to form a view of Tafoya.

Views of President Trump

46%Supports Trump
51%Does not support
3%Unsure
Supports him and his policies 30%Dislikes him personally but supports most of his policies 16%Does not support him or his policies 51%Unsure 3%

When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?

Governor ballot

47%Klobuchar/Schierer, D
45%Demuth/Wilson, R
9%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Minnesota were held today, who would you vote for?

Generic Senate ballot

47%Republican
46%Democrat
7%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?

Full toplines

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance?
Approve 37%
Disapprove 55%
Unsure 8%
Q2 What is your opinion of Amy Klobuchar?
Favorable 39%
Unfavorable 45%
Unsure 14%
Never heard of 2%
Q3 What is your opinion of Lisa Demuth?
Favorable 37%
Unfavorable 34%
Unsure 18%
Never heard of 10%
Q4 If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Minnesota were held today, who would you vote for?
Amy Klobuchar and Ben Schierer, Democrat 47%
Lisa Demuth and Ryan Wilson, Republican 45%
Undecided 9%
Q5 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?
Republican 47%
Democrat 46%
Undecided 7%
Q6 What is your opinion of Peggy Flanagan?
Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 42%
Unsure 20%
Never heard of 5%
Q7 What is your opinion of Michele Tafoya?
Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 32%
Unsure 18%
Never heard of 13%
Q8 What is your opinion of Rebecca Whiting?
Favorable 3%
Unfavorable 6%
Unsure 31%
Never heard of 60%
Q9 What is your opinion of Marisa Simonetti?
Favorable 2%
Unfavorable 9%
Unsure 31%
Never heard of 58%
Q10 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?
Peggy Flanagan, Democrat 43%
Michele Tafoya, Republican 42%
Rebecca Whiting, Libertarian 2%
Marisa Simonetti, Independent 2%
Undecided 11%
Q11 Which of the following do you consider the most important issue facing the country?
Government corruption 24%
Saving our democracy 21%
Lowering the cost of living 12%
Cutting taxes and government spending 10%
Immigration and border security 10%
Lowering healthcare costs 5%
Ending the war in Iran 4%
Creating jobs and growing the economy 3%
Protecting reproductive freedom 2%
Rising violent crime and drug addiction 1%
Other [OPEN-ENDED] 0%
Other 8%
Q12 When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?
I support him and his policies 30%
I dislike him personally but support most of his policies 16%
I dislike him personally and don't support most of his policies 51%
Unsure 3%

Methodology

co/efficient surveyed 833 likely general election voters in Minnesota on September 14-15, 2026, using mobile text responses and live landline interviews. Results are weighted on age, gender, race, education, congressional district, and party affiliation to reflect the likely 2026 general electorate. The margin of error is ±3.38 percentage points. Full question wording appears with each result above.

Party

Democrat39%
Republican38%
Ind/Other23%

Gender

Female52%
Male48%

Age

18-3413%
35-4416%
45-5416%
55-6419%
65+36%

Race

White91%
Non-White10%

Ideology

Conservative38%
Moderate38%
Liberal24%

Education

HS29%
Some College31%
College26%
Grad+14%

Last 4 General Elections

4 of 462%
3 of 412%
2 of 48%
1 of 46%
0 of 411%

Congressional District

0112%
0213%
0313%
0412%
0511%
0613%
0712%
0813%

Household Income

<$50k14%
$50-75k15%
$75-100k20%
$100-150k32%
$150k+18%

Community Type

Suburban37%
Rural34%
Urban29%