Senate Battlegrounds 2026

Michigan · U.S. Senate

Fielded September 21-23, 2026 Mode Mobile text responses and landline interviews Sample 843 likely general election voters MoE ±3.36% Released September 2026

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?

45%

Mike Rogers

Republican

45%

Abdul El-Sayed

Democrat

2%

Lydia Christensen

Libertarian

0%

Timothy Long

U.S. Taxpayers Party

0%

Douglas Marsh

Green Party

8%

Undecided

 

Even

The numbers behind the ballot

Candidate favorability

Mike Rogers

Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 47%
No opinion 16%

Abdul El-Sayed

Favorable 39%
Unfavorable 50%
No opinion 11%

Both candidates are well known: about 1 in 10 voters offer no opinion of El-Sayed, and about 1 in 6 have yet to form a view of Rogers.

Views of President Trump

46%Supports Trump
48%Does not support
6%Unsure
Supports him and his policies 34%Dislikes him personally but supports most of his policies 12%Does not support him or his policies 48%Unsure 6%

When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?

Head-to-head Senate ballot

50%Rogers, R
50%El-Sayed, D

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? (Rogers and El-Sayed only)

Governor ballot

47%Benson, D
44%James, R
8%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Michigan were held today, who would you vote for?

Full toplines

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance?
Approve 40%
Disapprove 55%
Unsure 5%
Q2 If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Michigan were held today, who would you vote for?
Jocelyn Benson, Democrat 47%
John James, Republican 44%
Undecided 8%
Q3 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?
Democrat 47%
Republican 46%
Undecided 7%
Q4 What is your opinion of Abdul El-Sayed?
Favorable 39%
Unfavorable 50%
Unsure 9%
Never heard of 2%
Q5 What is your opinion of Mike Rogers?
Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 47%
Unsure 15%
Never heard of 1%
Q6 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?
Mike Rogers, Republican 45%
Abdul El-Sayed, Democrat 45%
Lydia Christensen, Libertarian 2%
Timothy Long, U.S. Taxpayers Party 0%
Douglas Marsh, Green Party 0%
Undecided 8%
Q7 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? (Rogers and El-Sayed only)
Mike Rogers, Republican 50%
Abdul El-Sayed, Democrat 50%
Q8 When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?
I support him and his policies 34%
I dislike him personally but support most of his policies 12%
I dislike him personally and don't support most of his policies 48%
Unsure 6%

Methodology

co/efficient surveyed 843 likely general election voters in Michigan on September 21-23, 2026, using mobile text responses and landline interviews. Results are weighted on age, gender, race, education, and congressional district to reflect the likely 2026 general electorate. The margin of error is ±3.36 percentage points. Full question wording appears with each result above.

Self-Reported Party

Democrat41%
Republican40%
Indep/Other19%

Gender

Female54%
Male46%

Race

White83%
Black9%
Other Race5%
Hispanic3%

Ideology

Conservative41%
Moderate32%
Liberal26%

Age

65+38%
55-6419%
45-5415%
35-4414%
18-3414%

Education

HS36%
Some College32%
College20%
Grad+13%

Last 4 General Elections

4 of 457%
3 of 412%
2 of 46%
1 of 48%
0 of 417%

Media Market

Detroit43%
Grand Rapids19%
Flint13%
Lansing11%
Traverse City5%
Other Media Market10%

Community Type

Suburban39%
Rural38%
Urban23%

Household Income

<$50k16%
$50-75k20%
$75-100k21%
$100-150k27%
$150k+15%