Senate Battlegrounds 2026

Iowa · U.S. Senate

Fielded September 14-16, 2026 Mode Mobile text responses and landline interviews Sample 831 likely general election voters MoE ±3.39% Released September 2026

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?

46%

Ashley Hinson

Republican

42%

Josh Turek

Democrat

2%

Thomas Laehn

Libertarian

9%

Undecided

 

Hinson +4

The numbers behind the ballot

Candidate favorability

Ashley Hinson

Favorable 40%
Unfavorable 42%
No opinion 18%

Josh Turek

Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 36%
No opinion 29%

About 1 in 5 voters offer no opinion of Hinson; nearly 3 in 10 have yet to form a view of Turek.

Views of President Trump

49%Supports Trump
46%Does not support
5%Unsure
Supports him and his policies 36%Dislikes him personally but supports most of his policies 13%Does not support him or his policies 46%Unsure 5%

When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?

Governor ballot

46%Rob Sand, D
42%Zach Lahn, R
12%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Iowa were held today, who would you vote for?

Generic Senate ballot

48%Republican
43%Democrat
8%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?

Full toplines

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance?
Approve 42%
Disapprove 52%
Unsure 6%
Q2 If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Iowa were held today, who would you vote for?
Rob Sand, Democrat 46%
Zach Lahn, Republican 42%
Undecided 12%
Q3 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?
Republican 48%
Democrat 43%
Undecided 8%
Q4 What is your opinion of Ashley Hinson?
Favorable 40%
Unfavorable 42%
Unsure 16%
Never heard of 2%
Q5 What is your opinion of Josh Turek?
Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 36%
Unsure 24%
Never heard of 5%
Q6 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?
Ashley Hinson, Republican 46%
Josh Turek, Democrat 42%
Thomas Laehn, Libertarian 2%
Undecided 9%
Q7 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for between these candidates?
Ashley Hinson, Republican 48%
Josh Turek, Democrat 43%
Undecided 9%
Q8 When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?
I support him and his policies 36%
I dislike him personally but support most of his policies 13%
I dislike him personally and don't support most of his policies 46%
Unsure 5%

Methodology

co/efficient surveyed 831 likely general election voters in Iowa on September 14-16, 2026, using mobile text responses and landline interviews. Results are weighted on age, gender, race, education, congressional district, and community type to reflect the likely 2026 general electorate. The margin of error is ±3.39 percentage points. Full question wording appears with each result above.

Registered Party

Republican44%
Democrat33%
NP/Other22%

Gender

Female52%
Male48%

Race

White95%
Non-White5%

Ideology

Conservative42%
Moderate39%
Liberal19%

Age

18-3412%
35-4414%
45-5415%
55-6418%
65+41%

Education

No Degree69%
College21%
Grad+11%

Congressional District

0125%
0226%
0326%
0423%

Media Market

Des Moines33%
Cedar Rapids27%
Sioux City12%
Davenport9%
Other MMA19%

Community Type

Rural47%
Suburban41%
Urban12%

Last 4 General Elections

4 of 463%
3 of 415%
2 of 46%
1 of 44%
0 of 412%

Household Income

<$50k14%
$50-75k21%
$75-100k23%
$100-150k31%
$150k+11%