Senate Battlegrounds 2026

Alaska · U.S. Senate

Fielded September 14-17, 2026 Mode Mobile text responses and landline interviews Sample 799 likely general election voters MoE ±3.45% Released September 2026

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?

48%

Dan S. Sullivan

Republican, Incumbent

46%

Mary Peltola

Democrat

1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

 

1%

Gerald Heikes

Republican

4%

Undecided

 

Sullivan +2

The numbers behind the ballot

Candidate favorability

Dan S. Sullivan

Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 45%
No opinion 8%

Mary Peltola

Favorable 41%
Unfavorable 47%
No opinion 12%

Both candidates are almost universally known: fewer than 1 in 10 voters offer no opinion of Sullivan, and about 1 in 8 have yet to form a view of Peltola.

Views of President Trump

48%Supports Trump
48%Does not support
4%Unsure
Supports him and his policies 42%Dislikes him personally but supports most of his policies 6%Does not support him or his policies 48%Unsure 4%

When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?

Governor ballot

43%Kreiss-Tomkins, D/NP
20%Wilson, R
17%Bronson, R
6%Taylor, R
14%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Alaska were held today, who would you vote for?

Generic Senate ballot

49%Republican
44%Democrat
8%Undecided

If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?

Full toplines

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance?
Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%
Unsure 4%
Q2 If the November 3rd general election for Governor of Alaska were held today, who would you vote for?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Democrat/Nonpartisan 43%
Bernadette Wilson, Republican 20%
Dave Bronson, Republican 17%
Treg Taylor, Republican 6%
Undecided 14%
Q3 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, which Party's candidate would you vote for?
Republican 49%
Democrat 44%
Undecided 8%
Q4 What is your opinion of Dan S. Sullivan?
Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 45%
Unsure 7%
Never heard of 1%
Q5 What is your opinion of Mary Peltola?
Favorable 41%
Unfavorable 47%
Unsure 10%
Never heard of 2%
Q6 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?
Dan S. Sullivan, Republican, Incumbent 48%
Mary Peltola, Democrat 46%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. 1%
Gerald Heikes, Republican 1%
Undecided 4%
Q7 If the November 3rd general election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for between these candidates?
Dan S. Sullivan, Republican, Incumbent 49%
Mary Peltola, Democrat 46%
Undecided 5%
Q8 When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?
I support him and his policies 42%
I dislike him personally but support most of his policies 6%
I dislike him personally and don't support most of his policies 48%
Unsure 4%

Methodology

co/efficient surveyed 799 likely general election voters in Alaska on September 14-17, 2026, using mobile text responses and landline interviews. Results are weighted on age, gender, race, education, county, and registered party to reflect the likely 2026 general electorate. The margin of error is ±3.45 percentage points. Full question wording appears with each result above.

Registered Party

Republican30%
Democrat15%
NP/Other55%

Gender

Female51%
Male49%

Race

White85%
Native American7%
Hispanic4%
Other Race4%

Ideology

Conservative44%
Moderate43%
Liberal13%

Age

65+44%
55-6423%
45-5417%
35-4413%
18-344%

Education

HS35%
Some College33%
College20%
Grad+12%

Last 4 General Elections

4 of 470%
3 of 411%
2 of 49%
1 of 48%
0 of 43%

County

Anchorage40%
Matanuska Susitna18%
Fairbanks North Star12%
Kenai Peninsula11%
Juneau5%
Other County11%

Community Type

Rural51%
Suburban36%
Urban13%

Household Income

<$50k9%
$50-75k13%
$75-100k18%
$100-150k35%
$150k+25%